UNPUBLISHED PAPERS
- "The Financial System Ten
Years After The Financial Crisis: Lessons Learnt." Paper presented
at the NAEC Group Meeting. OECD, Paris, 13 September
2018.
- "Corporate
Profit Taxes, Capital Expenditure and Real Wages: The Analytics Behind
a Contentious Debate." With Anne C. Sibert. CEPR Discussion Paper 12932, May 2018. Abstract.
- "Central Bank
Independence: Mirage and Mythos." Powerpoint presentation. Bank of England Independence: 20 years on Conference. Bank of England, London,
29 September 2017.
- "Target2
Redux: The Simple Accountancy and Slightly More Complex Economics of
Bundesbank Loss Exposure Through the Eurosystem." With
Ebrahim
Rahbari, CEPR Discussion Paper No 9211,
November 2012.
- "Excessive
Debt
in Rich Nations: What Happens When Sovereigns, Households and Banks
Deleverage at the Same Time?" Powerpoint presentation. Debt of Nations Revisited,
Lecture 1. Frederico Caffè Lectures, Rome, 13–14 December
2011.
- "The
Central
Bank as Quasi-Fiscal Player; Theory and Applications." Powerpoint presentation. Debt of
Nations Revisited, Lecture 2. Frederico Caffè Lectures, Rome, 13–14 December 2011.
- "Is
There a Case for a Further Coordinated Fiscal Stimulus?"
Meeting on the theme: Are the
coordinated stimulus plans working and are they effective? Should we
continue with fiscal stimulus? Are there other approaches to aggregate
demand management? IMAG, New York, 16–17 September 2009.
- "Negative Interest Rates." Presentation. European Central Bank, Frankfurt, 18 May
2009.
- "Lessons
from the Financial Crisis for Social Democrats." Background
paper.
Dr. J.M. Den Uyllezing, de Rode Hoed, Amsterdam, 15 December 2008.
- "Lessons
from the
North Atlantic Financial Crisis." Conference Paper. The Role of Money Markets. Columbia
Business School and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York, 29–30 May
2008.
- "How
Robust is the
New Conventional Wisdom in Monetary Policy? The Surprising Fragility of
the Theoretical Foundations of Inflation Targeting and Central Bank
Independence." Paper. 2006 Central Bank
Governors'
Symposium: Challenges to Monetary Theory. Bank of England, 23 June
2006. Mimeo. European Institute, London School of Economics and
Political Science, June 2006.
- "No
Bricks Without Straw: A Critique of Ravi Kanbur' s Modest Proposal for
Introducing Development Outcomes in IDA Allocation Procedures."
Note.
Initiative for Policy
Dialogue on the CPIA and Aid Allocation meeting. Columbia University, New York, 4 April
2007. Mimeo. European Institute, London School of Economics and
Political Science, March 2007.
- "Monetary
Economics
and the Political Economy of Central Banking: The Twin Threats of
Sloppy Analysis and Institutional Hubris." Background paper
for a
lecture. XI Meeting of the Research Network of Central
Banks of the Americas, Buenos Aires, 22 - 24 November 2006.
- "Rethinking
Inflation
Targeting and Central Bank Independence." Background paper
for an
Inaugural Lecture for the Chair of European Political Economy. European Institute, London School of Economics and Political
Science, London 26 October 2006. Shorter version.
- "Prospects
for Global
Inflation." Mimeo. European Institute, London School of
Economics
and Political Science, 11 October 2006.
- "Threats
to the Orderly Resolution of Global Imbalances: Trade Disputes, Abrupt
Corrections of Global Asset Market Anomalies, and Past, Present and Future Monetary Policy Errors by the Fed." Mimeo. European
Institute, London School of Economics and Political Science, 11 October
2006.
- "The
Inflation
Criterion for Eurozone Membership: What to Do When you Fail to Meet It."
With Anne C. Sibert. Background paper for a panel discussion. Central
Banking and EU Enlargement. Central Bank of Turkey,
Annual Meeting of the Turkish Economic Association, 12 September 2006. Mimeo. European Institute, London School of Economics and Political
Science, September 2006.
- "Beauties
and the
Beast; When Will the New EU Members from Central and Eastern Europe
Join the Eurozone?." With Anne C. Sibert, Mimeo. London
School of
Economics and Political Science, May 2006.
- "The
Elusive Welfare Economics of Price Stability as a Monetary Policy
Objective: Why New Keynesian Central Bankers Should Validate Core
Inflation." European Central Bank Working Paper Series No.
609,
April 2006.
- "What
Accounts for the Bias in the Inflation Targeting Performance of the
Bank of England?" Mimeo. Universiteit van Amsterdam. February
2005.
- "Challenges
for Europe." Remarks. Launch of Hugh Stephenson, ed. Challenges
for Europe. London: Palgrave MacMillan, 2004. London School of
Economics and
Political Science, 6 December 2004. Mimeo. Office of the Chief
Economist. European Bank for Reconstruction and Development.
- "En
Attendant Godot?
Financial Instability Risks for Countries Targeting Eurozone Membership."
CEPR/ESI Eighth Annual Conference: EMU
Enlargement to the East and the West. Magyar Nemzeti Bank, Budapest,
Hungary, 24–25 September 2004.
- "What
Have We learnt
From Fifteen Years of Transition in Central and Eastern Europe?"
International Policy Conference on Transition
Economies. Hanoi, Vietnam, 31 May and 1 June 2004. Mimeo. Office of
the Chief Economist, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development,
July 2004.
- "Transition
and Sustainable Growth in the Early Transition Countries: The Role of
the Private Sector in Poverty Reduction." Mimeo. Early Transition
Countries Strategic Review Meeting. Office of the Chief
Economist, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, 30 June 2004.
- "Deflation:
Prevention and Cure." NBER Working Paper W9623, April 2003. Abstract. Technical Appendix.
- "What
Should the
Multilateral Development Banks Do?." With Steven Fries.
European
Bank for Reconstruction and Development Working Paper No. 74, June
2002. Abstract. French
version: Quelle
Devrait
être la Mission des Banques Multilatérales de Développement?"
Revue d'économie du développement, vol. 16, no. 1 (
2002): 171–204. DOI : 10.3917/edd.161.0171
- "Capital
Flight and Capital outflows from Russia: Symptom, Cause and Cure."
With Ivan Szegvari. European Bank for Reconstruction and Development
Working Paper No. 73, June 2002. Abstract.
- "Blended
Finance and
Subsidies: An Economic Analysis of the Use of Grants and Other
Subsidies in Project Finance by Multilateral Development Banks." With Mark Schankerman. Mimeo. European Bank for Reconstruction and
Development, June 2002. Abstract.
- "Spreads
on Local
Currency Loans vs. Spreads on Hard Currency Loans." Mimeo.
European
Bank for Reconstruction and Development, November 2001.
- "Globalisation
and
Regional
Integration; A View From Eastern Europe and the FSU." House of
Lords, Session 2001–02 Select Committee on Economic Affairs. Globalisation,
Oral Evidence up to 13 March 2002, pp. 83–96, London: Stationary
Office
Ltd.
- "Comments
on Reforming
Britain's Economic and Financial Policy; Towards Greater Economic
Stability by HM Treasury." Presented at the launch
of the
volume. H.M. Treasury, London, 5 December 2001.
- "Exchange
Rate Regimes for Accession Countries." Luncheon
hosted by Deutsche Bank, EBRD Annual General Meeting, Riga,
Latvia, 21 May 2000.
- "Monetary
Misconceptions." London School of Economics, Centre for
Economic Performance, Discussion Paper 469, August 2000.
- "Monetary
Misconceptions: New and Old Paradigmata and Other Sad Tales."
Paper
expanding a speech. Aberdeen Chamber of Commerce, 27 October 1999.
- "The
Concept and Measurement of Domestically Generated Inflation."
Mimeo. University of Cambridge, March 1998.
- "Measuring Fiscal
Sustainability." Mimeo. University of Cambridge, August 1995.
- Indian
Public Finance in
the
1990s: Challenges and Prospects." With Urjit R.
Patel. Economic Growth Center, Yale University, Discussion Paper No.
706,
December 1993.
- *"Stabilization and
Structural Adjustment in
Peru." Mimeo, June 1993.
- "Public
Debt
in the
USA; How Much, How Bad and
Who Pays?" Economic Growth Center Discussion Paper No. 684,
March
1993.
- *"Does an Improvement in
the
Trade Balance or the
Current Account at Full Employment Require a Depreciation of the Real
Exchange Rate?" In The State and the Private Enterprise in a
Global
Society, NIRA, Tokyo, September 1988, pp. 71–152.
- "The
Current Global Economic Situation, Outlook
and Policy Options." CEPR
Discussion
Paper No. 210, November 1987.
- "Macroeconomic
Responses by Developing Countries
to Changes in External Economic Conditions." NBER Working
Paper No.
1836, April 1986.
- *"The Formulation
of
Economic Policy: Its Uses and
Limitations." Memorandum for The Select Committee on The Treasury and
Civil Service." February 1980.